LukeDelta

0x995229...292edb

Smart Score

  • Score: 94
  • Win Rate: 64.2%
  • Total P&L: +$1.3K
  • Trade Count: 912
  • Sharpe Ratio: 4.87
  • Sortino Ratio: 4912522300000000000.00
  • Max Drawdown: 0.0%
  • ROI: 358.0%
  • Profit Factor: 7.66
  • Kelly Fraction: 0.558
  • R² (Curve Fit): —

Recent Trades

Market Side Price Size Time
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026? SELL 0.2¢ 608.74 Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026? BUY 0.1¢ 357.82 Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026? BUY 0.1¢ 53.533 Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026? BUY 0.1¢ 608.74 Mar 4
Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? SELL 0.2¢ 23.19 Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026? SELL 0.2¢ 979.9 Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026? BUY 0.1¢ 979.9 Mar 4
Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? SELL 0.2¢ 3.46 Mar 4
Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? SELL 0.2¢ 0.11 Mar 4
Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? SELL 0.2¢ 0.15 Mar 4
Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? SELL 0.2¢ 0.83 Mar 4
Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? SELL 0.2¢ 0.17 Mar 4
Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? SELL 0.2¢ 322.82 Mar 4
Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? SELL 0.2¢ 0.11 Mar 4
Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? SELL 0.2¢ 0.02 Mar 4
Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? SELL 0.2¢ 0.06 Mar 4
Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? SELL 0.2¢ 0.03 Mar 4
Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? SELL 0.2¢ 0.01 Mar 4
Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? SELL 0.2¢ 0.06 Mar 4
Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? SELL 0.2¢ 0.03 Mar 4

Analytics Showcase

  • Odds Distribution: Contrarian / Long-Shot Hunter
  • Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

Quantitative Edge Profile

  • Elite Score: 94.2
  • Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe): 5.18
  • Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit): 85.7%
  • Win Consistency: 95.5%
  • Profit Factor: 2.45
  • Drawdown Resilience: 1.98
  • Conviction Sizing (Kelly): 1.98
  • Weekly Sharpe est.: 1.51
  • Trading Activity: 912 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

  • Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile

  • Updated daily · full equity curve & more at Accrue.